{"id":24508,"date":"2016-03-23T00:00:49","date_gmt":"2016-03-23T07:00:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technightowl.com\/?p=24508"},"modified":"2016-03-22T16:14:24","modified_gmt":"2016-03-22T23:14:24","slug":"apples-new-gear-predicting-failure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technightowl.live\/blog\/2016\/03\/apples-new-gear-predicting-failure\/","title":{"rendered":"Apple&#8217;s New Gear: Predicting Failure"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There must be a special place for people who write\u00a0misleading, or completely wrong, fear-mongering pieces about Apple. Surely there are lots of real things about which to complain, but evidently they aren&#8217;t doing their research. It&#8217;s too easy to repeat old tropes. Very easy.<\/p>\n<p>So almost every time Apple releases something new, shoes will drop worldwide. Maybe old shoes, with beaten leather and holes in the soles, but dropped shoes\u00a0nonetheless. So it was inevitable that some would complain that the iPhone SE is just too expensive, that it has no possible chance to succeed.<\/p>\n<p>Now for a smartphone, an unlocked price of $399 for the basic 16GB version may seem pricey. It is if you compare it to some of those cheap Android phones. But other companies envy Apple for being able to command a high-end price, and for the profits earned. Even a Samsung Galaxy handset competes in that price category, but doesn&#8217;t match Apple, although Samsung\u00a0sells more units when you include\u00a0cheaper, less profitable gear.<\/p>\n<p>But prices are already being slashed on Samsung&#8217;s Galaxy S7, their newly-launched flagship smartphone. I saw an ad this week in which AT&amp;T will get you a second handset free if you add\u00a0a new line on your account. That&#8217;s hardly an expression of confidence that these products will be selling real fast without lots of help. Indeed, Samsung has not been able to move their top-of-the-line gear as fast as Apple, nor do profits come even close.<\/p>\n<p>Those troubling facts, however, do not stop some alleged reporters from assuming that Apple will ultimately lose out to commodity gear, just as they lost out to commodity gear in the PC business.<\/p>\n<p>But\u00a0Apple&#8217;s market share in the PC space has actually been rising in recent years. Even when sales drop slightly, Apple does better then most of the rest of the industry. By concentrating on the middle or higher-end of\u00a0the market, profits are higher\u00a0than other PC makers.<\/p>\n<p>Still, that the revenue from Mac sales was a mere 8.9% of apple&#8217;s total sales in the December 2015 quarter, which is regarded as &#8220;insignificant&#8221; until you consider the total numbers, in the billions of dollars. These are sales any PC company would envy. Most competitors\u00a0don&#8217;t even come close, and it consists of loyal customers who opted to buy a product with its own proprietary operating system. The rest of the PC makers are selling\u00a0Windows gear, and that gear is usually little different from another company&#8217;s product, so customers can easily switch brands depending on who gives them the best deal. So much for customer loyalty.<\/p>\n<p>The latest argument about impending failure is about smartphones. iPhone sales growth has slowed, and there will evidently be negative growth this quarter. It&#8217;s doubtful the iPhone SE will have much impact, since it will only ship on March 31st. But it should\u00a0have an impact in future quarters.<\/p>\n<p>Regardless, the argument has it that, since there are so many commodity smartphones, in other words fairly similar models with little significant differentiation, and they are relatively cheap, Apple must suffer. It must be similar to the PC wars, except that Macs never held a majority share of PCs, not even in the early days. Besides, the commodity PCs were here more than two decades ago, and Macs are still around doing better than ever. It didn&#8217;t kill Apple \u2014 though it did come close when Apple stopped being smart about innovation\u00a0in the mid-1990s.<\/p>\n<p>With the iPhone, there is no direct equivalent. Nobody else produces a product running iOS, so it&#8217;s not so easy for customers to buy something cheaper without making some hard\u00a0decisions, and being willing to attempt to migrate their stuff to a new platform. An iOS switcher who goes Android would also have to accept the possibility that the apps they use are not available, and would have to seek out substitutes, if one is available.<\/p>\n<p>Besides, the average selling price of iPhones has remained pretty stable, so it&#8217;s not as if people are looking for cheaper products, or going elsewhere in large quantities. Indeed, more Android users go iOS than the reverse.<\/p>\n<p>That said, the iPhone SE is the cheapest smartphone\u00a0ever built by Apple. Monthly lease or purchase deals\u00a0will start at $17, according to Apple, so it&#8217;ll be easier than ever for customers to buy one. What&#8217;s more, it offers most of the capabilities of\u00a0the iPhone 6s family. The only significant missing feature is 3D Touch, which is probably not such a big deal. So customers who want a smaller iPhone \u2014 or just need to save money \u2014 aren&#8217;t being shortchanged.<\/p>\n<p>That the smartphone market is becoming saturated effects everyone, not just Apple. It doesn&#8217;t mean customers will magically move to cheaper handsets and give up their iPhones. Or not buy one in the first place.<\/p>\n<p>Fleshing out the product lineup might make it seem a tad confusing for customers, but Apple is really just replacing the iPhone 5s with a\u00a0new model. So nothing is being lost, and customers are also saving $50 on a better product.<\/p>\n<p>Now this may also mean that the next iPhone flagships, the supposed iPhone 7 series, might also be a tad cheaper going forward. But it&#8217;s not that Apple&#8217;s profit margins are so tight that they can&#8217;t absorb somewhat lower purchase prices. If they strike\u00a0better deals for components, it may not make any difference.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There must be a special place for people who write\u00a0misleading, or completely wrong, fear-mongering pieces about Apple. Surely there are lots of real things about which to complain, but evidently they aren&#8217;t doing their research. It&#8217;s too easy to repeat old tropes. Very easy. So almost every time Apple releases something new, shoes will drop [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[9351,202,10095,12291,26,13993,14887,14985,15106,15618,2122,8322,15588,8020],"class_list":["post-24508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-android","tag-apple","tag-att","tag-ios","tag-iphone","tag-iphone-5s","tag-iphone-6s","tag-iphone-6s-plus","tag-iphone-7","tag-iphone-se","tag-mac","tag-pc","tag-samsung-galaxy-s7","tag-windows"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Apple&#039;s New Gear: Predicting Failure - Gene Steinberg&#039;s Tech Night Owl<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.technightowl.live\/blog\/2016\/03\/apples-new-gear-predicting-failure\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Apple&#039;s New Gear: Predicting Failure - Gene Steinberg&#039;s Tech Night Owl\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"There must be a special place for people who write\u00a0misleading, or completely wrong, fear-mongering pieces about Apple. 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